Five days out from Election Day, we're exactly where we need to be — poised to win a Senate majority. It's shaping up much like the 2006 environment, but in reverse.
In 2006, every Republican incumbent below 48 percent on the ballot lost their election. In 2014, history seems to be repeating itself.
Democratic incumbents are currently losing in Colorado, Alaska, Arkansas, and Louisiana. Democratic incumbents are tied in North Carolina and New Hampshire. In five of these six races, Democratic senators are below 45 percent on the ballot.
In addition to our strong candidates across the map, the national environment favors Republicans.
As this week's Washington Post/ABC poll
illustrates, Republicans lead the generic ballot by six points: 50 percent to 44 percent. This includes a 17-point lead among independents, 54 percent to 37 percent. Republicans are more trusted to handle the economy, job creation, debt/deficits, and national security/foreign policy. On top of this news, it's no secret that President Obama is more unpopular in battleground states than ever.
Democrats are already pointing fingers and blaming each other. National Journal's Josh Kraushaar
describes how the Obama administration is already blaming Democratic candidates:
White House officials are preemptively spinning a midterm defeat, and they're using their own fantasies to do it. They're starting to blame candidates for not supporting President Obama enough. As a top White House official told The Washington Post's Karen Tumulty, "He doesn't think they have any reason to run away from him. He thinks there is a strong message there." This is pure delusion: Obama is the main reason Republicans are well-positioned to win control of the upper chamber next Tuesday. And Democrats' biggest strategic mistake in this election is that most candidates didn't run away far and fast enough. Given the president's rock-bottom approval numbers in the many Republican-friendly Senate states that Democrats needed to win—as well as the reality of a worsening political environment for the party as early as last winter—that distance was a downright necessity. But a host of Senate candidates failed to create it, and the party is likely to pay the price in Senate seats.
We have the momentum. In races for 10 seats held by Democrats, we are winning or tied. With less than a week to go, it’s now all about the ground game — and the RNC is doing excellent work leading that effort.