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The National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed Dr. Monica Wehby.

Find out why they did so — and read Wehby's response to her latest endorsement — below.

Chris W. Cox, NRA-PVF chairman, applauded Dr. Wehby's candidacy:

We can count on Monica Wehby to stand up for our constitutional freedoms in the U.S. Senate. The NRA encourages all gun owners and sportsmen in Oregon to vote Monica Wehby for U.S. Senate on November 4.
In response to this news, Wehby released a statement articulating her support of the Second Amendment:

The Second Amendment is an essential right granted under the Constitution to our citizenry, and I am proud to live in a state like Oregon that recognizes the significance of its inclusion alongside other Constitutional freedoms. Since Oregon’s founding, the Second Amendment has played a pivotal role in the development of our state and the protection of its people; as your Senator, I will staunchly defend that right and others, every single day.
You can learn more about Dr. Wehby's impressive campaign here.

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Michael Lehmann | September 16, 2014 |

Former President George H.W. Bush has endorsed U.S. Senate candidate David Perdue.

Read the former president's praise of Perdue below.

President Bush urged Georgians to support Perdue:

I am proud to endorse David Perdue in this critically important Senate race because I am genuinely worried about the direction in which our beloved country is heading – and I understand many Georgians share this deep concern. Getting our economy back on track is one of the many keys to getting America back on track, and David Perdue’s success in the private sector – meeting a payroll and dealing with regulations – gives him the kind of real-world experience that Washington, DC is sorely lacking today. ... David Perdue will be an independent voice for Georgia while working for positive solutions to our toughest challenges. Barbara and I commend him to every Georgian voter who cares about America’s future.
Perdue responded by expressing his admiration for Bush:

President George H.W. Bush is a steadfast leader for the conservative values that are needed to move Georgia and our country forward. I am truly humbled and honored to have his confidence and support in this critical election. President Bush understands the urgency to getting our country back on track, and I remain committed to being a problem solver in Washington.
Find out more about David Perdue here.

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Tim Cameron | September 16, 2014 |

Colorado, Iowa, North Carolina and New Hampshire are perhaps the closest races in the country right now.

That's why national Democrats are flooding these states with cash from Hollywood, Tom Steyer, and other liberal special interests. The DSCC has spent well over half of their TV expenditures in these four states — i.e., approximately $25 million in false and negative ads about Joni Ernst, Cory Gardner, Scott Brown and Thom Tillis.

Despite this onslaught of Democratic spending, these races remain a dead heat. That's a really bad sign for Mark Udall, Bruce Braley, Jeanne Shaheen and Kay Hagan. Democratic incumbents are spending millions to tread water. Treading water faster doesn't build momentum.

Incumbent senators are a known quantity to voters, but challengers are introducing themselves to the electorate. Voters who are familiar with an incumbent but do not support them on the ballot are searching for a new senator. This group of voters traditionally breaks against the incumbent by a 2-1 margin.

History tells us that for every four undecided voters, one will typically vote for the incumbent, two will vote for challenger, and one will not vote. This history means that for every point the incumbent is short of the 50 percent threshold, they need 4 percent in the undecided category to make it up. If an incumbent is at 48 percent, they need the undecided number to be at 8 percent; an incumbent at 47 percent needs 12 percent, etc.

There's even more bad news for Democratic incumbents, though. The political environment is bad for them. Some of them (like Kay Hagan and Mark Udall) have high unfavorables. At this very moment, undecided voters are just beginning to tune in, and between 60-70 percent are likely to end up voting for the challenger.

What's the bottom line? Undecided voters will decide the size of the GOP wave.

That's why it is important to look at polls in their proper context. Dan McLaughlin provided an in-depth analysis of this reality, tracking results back to the 2002 cycle:

A review of the mid-September polls over the last six Senate election cycles, all of which ended in at least a mild "wave" for one party, shows that it is common for the "wave party" to win a few races in which it trailed in mid-September – sometimes more than a few races, and sometimes races in which there appeared to be substantial leads, and most frequently against the other party’s incumbents. Whereas it is very uncommon for the wave party to lose a polling lead, even a slim one, after mid-September – it has happened only three times, one of those was a tied race rather than a lead, and another involved the non-wave party replacing its candidate on the ballot with a better candidate. If these historical patterns hold in 2014, we would therefore expect Republicans to win all the races in which they currently lead plus two to four races in which they are currently behind, netting a gain of 8 to 10 Senate seats.
His final conclusion is great news for the GOP:

If 2014 follows the path of 2002, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, and 2012, we would expect to see between 53 and 55 Republicans in the Senate in 2015.

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Tim Cameron | September 16, 2014 |

In the Herald Dispatch — a Huntington, WV, paper — Shelley Moore Capito outlined her "West Virginia Works Plan."

Find out more about her jobs plan below.

Electing new Senate leadership, ceasing Obama's War on Coal, and empowering small businesses are all crucial to creating more jobs. At the end of her column, Capito summarizes her vision for West Virginia:

My West Virginia Works Plan harnesses our resources, our people and our pride to grow a West Virginia that is even better than the great state we inherited from the generations before us. West Virginians deserve a Senator they can trust to stand up to President Obama, Harry Reid and anyone else who wants to cast our state aside. I am ready to take my plan to the Senate and fight for West Virginia every single day.
You can learn more about Capito, and her plan for the future, in the video below.

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Tim Cameron | September 15, 2014 |
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Paid for by NRSC. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee. www.NRSC.org