On the first day of August, the political environment continues to worsen for Democrats. Gallup reports
new numbers that make a Republican Senate majority more likely:
[Party identification] is closer to what Gallup measured in the third quarter of strong Republican midterm years such as 1994, 2002, and 2010 than in the strong Democratic years of 1998 and 2006. ... Republicans may be poised for more significant gains in the senate, especially because many of the Democratic incumbents defending their seats were elected in 2008, a very favorable political year for Democrats.
It seems like few things are favorable these days for Democrats.
Obamacare is more unpopular today
than ever before. Disapproval of the president's handling of the economy has not changed. A Quinnipiac poll
taken in July reveals that nearly 80% (!!) of voters describe the nation’s economy as “not so good” or “poor,” and more say the economy is getting worse (31%) than getting better (26%). More than 50% of voters say that the Obama administration has not been competent in running the government.
During a lunch with reporters at the NRSC, Chairman Jerry Moran said that Republicans are positioned to win the Senate majority. The Daily Caller described
how strong candidates and sound strategy have increased the GOP's chances over the past year.
Moran explained that the odds are increasingly in Republicans' favor:
Back in the very beginning, I would’ve told you we had six good candidates in six states. Now, the number of races where Republicans could pick up seats from Democrats has expanded to somewhere in the range of 12 to 14 states.
The Daily Caller also noted
that Republicans have put themselves in a great position:
According to the most up-to-date RealClearPolitics polling averages, Republicans would take back the Senate if the election were held today. GOP candidates are polling ahead of Democrats in Montana, South Dakota, Iowa, Arkansas, Louisiana and West Virginia. That would lead to Republicans having 51 Senate seats, and Democrats holding 49 seats.
The Obama administration's incompetence and Harry Reid’s failed Senate leadership have worn thin with voters .
Republican candidates are talking about solutions to grow the economy, create more permanent jobs, tackle the debt and repeal and fix Obamacare.